Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona St.
Pac-12
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.1#71
Expected Predictive Rating+7.9#64
Pace67.9#160
Improvement-0.7#201

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#73
Improvement+1.9#87

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#90
Improvement-2.5#291
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four7.5% n/a n/a
First Round3.2% n/a n/a
Second Round0.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2012 301   Central Arkansas W 79-64 95%     1 - 0 +2.6 -10.5 +11.7
  Nov 18, 2012 328   Florida A&M W 97-70 97%     2 - 0 +11.4 +3.7 +3.4
  Nov 20, 2012 255   Cornell W 64-53 92%     3 - 0 +2.4 -20.2 +21.7
  Nov 23, 2012 74   Arkansas W 83-68 51%     4 - 0 +22.0 +9.5 +11.6
  Nov 24, 2012 15   Creighton L 73-87 24%     4 - 1 +0.5 -6.3 +8.7
  Nov 28, 2012 281   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 67-54 94%     5 - 1 +2.4 -9.0 +11.3
  Dec 01, 2012 286   Sacramento St. W 90-70 95%     6 - 1 +8.8 +8.9 -0.9
  Dec 05, 2012 219   Hartford W 71-63 89%     7 - 1 +1.5 +8.1 -5.7
  Dec 08, 2012 212   Cal St. Northridge W 87-76 88%     8 - 1 +5.2 -2.1 +5.9
  Dec 12, 2012 165   DePaul L 61-78 83%     8 - 2 -20.2 -20.6 +1.8
  Dec 15, 2012 270   Dartmouth W 61-42 93%     9 - 2 +9.4 -12.1 +22.9
  Dec 22, 2012 226   @ Texas Tech W 77-62 77%     10 - 2 +14.5 +3.5 +11.1
  Dec 29, 2012 317   Coppin St. W 68-52 96%     11 - 2 +2.6 -3.5 +7.7
  Jan 02, 2013 114   Utah W 55-54 OT 74%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +1.4 -13.1 +14.5
  Jan 06, 2013 45   Colorado W 65-56 51%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +15.9 +2.7 +13.9
  Jan 10, 2013 103   @ Oregon St. W 72-62 48%     14 - 2 3 - 0 +17.8 -0.4 +18.0
  Jan 13, 2013 41   @ Oregon L 65-68 27%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +10.5 +5.3 +5.0
  Jan 19, 2013 18   Arizona L 54-71 38%     14 - 4 3 - 2 -6.7 -10.7 +2.8
  Jan 24, 2013 100   USC W 98-93 OT 71%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +6.4 +16.7 -10.9
  Jan 26, 2013 40   UCLA W 78-60 49%     16 - 4 5 - 2 +25.3 +1.6 +22.2
  Jan 31, 2013 91   @ Washington St. W 63-59 45%     17 - 4 6 - 2 +12.5 +1.0 +12.0
  Feb 02, 2013 77   @ Washington L 92-96 40%     17 - 5 6 - 3 +5.6 +16.1 -10.1
  Feb 07, 2013 57   California W 66-62 57%     18 - 5 7 - 3 +9.2 -2.9 +12.1
  Feb 09, 2013 46   Stanford L 59-62 51%     18 - 6 7 - 4 +3.9 -6.9 +10.5
  Feb 13, 2013 114   @ Utah L 55-60 51%     18 - 7 7 - 5 +1.8 -4.5 +5.5
  Feb 16, 2013 45   @ Colorado W 63-62 OT 27%     19 - 7 8 - 5 +14.4 +4.8 +9.7
  Feb 20, 2013 91   Washington St. W 69-57 69%     20 - 7 9 - 5 +14.0 +4.4 +11.0
  Feb 23, 2013 77   Washington L 59-68 65%     20 - 8 9 - 6 -5.8 +2.6 -10.6
  Feb 27, 2013 40   @ UCLA L 74-79 OT 26%     20 - 9 9 - 7 +8.8 +1.1 +8.2
  Mar 02, 2013 100   @ USC L 56-57 47%     20 - 10 9 - 8 +6.9 -8.4 +15.3
  Mar 09, 2013 18   @ Arizona L 58-73 18%     20 - 11 9 - 9 +1.8 -3.6 +4.3
  Mar 13, 2013 46   Stanford W 89-88 OT 39%     21 - 11 +11.1 +13.0 -2.0
  Mar 14, 2013 40   UCLA L 75-80 37%     21 - 12 +5.6 +7.6 -2.1
Projected Record 21.0 - 12.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 7.6% 7.6% 12.1 0.1 6.5 1.0 92.4 7.6%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.6% 0.0% 7.6% 12.1 0.1 6.5 1.0 92.4 7.6%